Twenty Years of Poor EM returns | Sixty60 almost a R20bn Revenue Business

Simon BrownLatest, WorldWide Markets



🌍 Worldwide Markets Ep. 646 – 3 September 2025

πŸŽ™οΈ Hosted by Simon Brown

Powered by Standard Bank & Shyft, the global money app πŸ’³πŸŒ

πŸ“ˆ Key Topics This Week

🌏 Emerging Markets: 20 Years of Poor Returns

EM ETFs have underperformed vs. the US and gold

20-year CAGR:

πŸ“Š NASDAQ: +1,400% (14.5% CAGR)

🟑 Gold: +700% (10.9% CAGR)

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ S&P 500: +440% (8.7% CAGR)

🌍 Emerging Markets: +193% (5.5% CAGR)

BRIC dream (Brazil, Russia, India, China) never delivered πŸ’­

Headwinds: financial crises, currency depreciation πŸ’Έ, weaker governance πŸ“‰

🟑 Gold & βšͺ Silver Running

Gold futures hit $3,560/oz πŸš€

Central banks now hold more gold than US Treasuries

Silver back above $40, near 2011 highs

Stagflation worries (low growth, high inflation, debt) β†’ gold demand surges

Gold weekly chart | 02 September 2025

Gold weekly chart | 02 September 2025

πŸ›’ Shoprite* Results & 60/60 Growth

Checkers 60/60 delivered R18.9bn revenue πŸŽπŸ“¦

That’s nearly 20% of Checkers’ sales & close to Pick n Pay’s market cap

Strong results, inflation at just 2.3% βœ…

Stock price up ~5%

πŸš— Record August Vehicle Sales

51,880 units sold, highest since Oct 2019

Brands leading:

πŸš™ Toyota (13k+)

πŸš— Suzuki (~6.5k)

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Rising share from Chinese brands (GWM, Chery, JAC)

Trend: consumers keeping cars longer, turning to cheaper imports 🏷️

πŸ§ͺ ASP Isotopes JSE Listing

Listed ahead of Renergen* takeover

Local pricing looks wildly inflated at R1,100 vs. realistic ~R165 πŸ“‰

Very thin volumes; caution urged ⚠️

🌐 Geopolitics: New World Order

India 🀝 Russia 🀝 China meeting – cooperation on energy, fertilizers, space & security

Growing shift away from USD towards RMB in oil settlement

US power not gone yet, but cracks in global dominance showing πŸ›οΈ

πŸ”‘ Takeaways

EM equities have disappointed; US tech dominance continues πŸ’»

Gold remains a hedge in uncertain times 🟑

Shoprite Sixty60 is now a R20bn business 🚚

Car sales at record highs, boosted by affordable Chinese brands 🚘

Watch out for weird valuations in new listings πŸ‘€

Geopolitics shifting – 2025 could be a turning point 🌍

πŸ“Œ Next week’s episode will be late – Simon’s at LeaderX on Tuesday. Come say hi if you’re there! πŸ™Œ

Simon Brown

* I hold ungeared positions.

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Wednesdays are all about hard-core investing and trading with Simon Brown’s famous JSE Direct podcast. JSE Direct started life on ClassicFM in July 2008 and became a podcast in 2011. Every week Simon shares his views on the state of global economies, individual shares and events moving markets.

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JSE – The JSE is a registered trademark of the JSE Limited.

JSE Direct is an independent broadcast and is not endorsed or affiliated with, nor has it been authorised, or otherwise approved by JSE Limited. The views expressed in this programme are solely those of the presenter, and do not necessarily reflect the views of JSE Limited.



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